Shell luncurkan skenario peta jalan Indonesia untuk mencapai target net-zero emissions (NZE) pada 2060

Agar dapat melakukan transisi mencapai net-zero emissions pada tahun 2060 dengan sukses, Indonesia perlu mengubah sistem energi dan penggunaan lahan (land use) secara mendasar. Hal ini harus dilakukan dengan tetap memastikan pasokan energi yang terjangkau dan aman untuk mendukung pertumbuhan dan perkembangan ekonomi selama transisi.

Di Indonesia, sektor energi telah diidentifikasi sebagai penyumbang utama emisi kedua setelah pertanian, kehutanan, dan penggunaan lahan lainnya. Peta jalan dekarbonisasi untuk perekonomian dan industri Indonesia diuraikan dalam Indonesia Sketch, dimana melibatkan adopsi dan implementasi elektron rendah karbon (low-carbon electrons) yang lebih besar dan solusi energi rendah karbon (low-carbon energy solutions) seperti bioenergi. Pada bioenergi, biofuel dapat mencapai hingga 60% dari keseluruhan bahan bakar cair, untuk menggantikan minyak dalam jumlah besar dan untuk mendukung dekarbonisasi sektor yang sulit untuk dielektrifikasi seperti sektor penerbangan dan industri kimia.

"Peta jalan untuk mencapai target net-zero emissions di Indonesia akan membutuhkan kerja sama signifikan antara pemerintah dan badan usaha agar aspirasi pada tahun 2060 tersebut dapat terwujud. Sebagai contoh, pengembangan pasokan biofuel generasi kedua dan termutakhir dalam jangka panjang akan sangat penting untuk meminimalkan dampak pada produksi pangan dan lingkungan yang lebih luas. Hal ini juga akan mendukung transformasi sektor penggunaan lahan Indonesia dari net contributor emisi gas rumah kaca menjadi sumber emisi net-negative," kata Dr Mallika Ishwaran, Chief Economist Shell, yang berbicara di acara peluncuran pada Kamis (29/09).

Indonesia Sketch juga membahas mengenai percepatan elektrifikasi, perkembangan berkelanjutan dalam peningkatan efisiensi energi, serta penangkapan dan penyimpanan karbon (CCS) sebagai tindakan utama yang perlu dilakukan. Penerapan solusi CCS akan menjadi kunci untuk mendekarbonisasi emisi yang paling mahal dan paling sulit untuk dikurangi. Investasi dalam solusi energi rendah karbon ini juga akan menghasilkan efek pengganda ekonomi, yang pada dasarnya akan memberikan dampak positif terhadap perekonomian.

Presiden Direktur dan Country Chair Shell Indonesia, Ingrid Siburian, mengatakan, "Sebagai salah satu produsen dan konsumen energi terbesar, Indonesia dapat mendorong upaya dekarbonisasi yang komprehensif untuk mendukung aspirasi pembangunan ekonomi berkelanjutan di Indonesia. Sebagai investor di sektor energi di Indonesia, dan sejalan dengan strategi Powering Progress kami, Shell berkomitmen untuk menjadi mitra yang berperan aktif dalam perjalanan transformasi energi Indonesia. Peluncuran Indonesia Sketch merupakan wujud nyata kontribusi Shell dalam diskusi yang sedang berlangsung mengenai masa depan ekosistem energi di Indonesia."

Membangun sistem energi net-zero di Indonesia pada tahun 2060 merupakan tantangan. Akan tetapi, Shell percaya bahwa hal ini secara teknis memungkinkan bagi Indonesia. Untuk dapat mencapai ambisi ini, Indonesia harus bertindak cepat dengan pendekatan yang berorientasi pada tujuan. Langkah penting lainnya mencakup penghentian pembangkit listrik tenaga batu bara secara bertahap, investasi dalam pembangkit listrik dari energi terbarukan, fleksibilitas teknologi, dan infrastruktur ketenagalistrikan.

Baca laporan selengkapnya di www.shell.co.id/IndonesiaSketch

Tentang Shell Indonesia

Shell di Indonesia mengelola bisnis di sektor hilir minyak dan gas. Aktivitas bisnis kami mencakup bisnis SPBU, pelumas, marine, serta bitumen. Shell adalah perusahaan energi internasional pertama yang membuka bisnis SPBU di Indonesia. Saat ini, Shell memiliki lebih dari 190 lokasi SPBU di wilayah Jabodetabek, Jawa Barat, Jawa Timur dan Sumatera Utara. Shell memiliki dan mengoperasikan terminal bahan bakar di Gresik. Di bisnis pelumas, Shell menyediakan produk pelumas dan dukungan teknis terkait untuk sektor industri, otomotif, dan transportasi. Di tahun 2015, Shell membangun dan mengoperasikan pabrik pelumas (LOBP) di Marunda, Bekasi, dengan kapasitas produksi mencapai 136 juta liter.

Informasi lebih lanjut, silakan hubungi:

Edit Wahyuningtyas
Corporate Communications - Shell Indonesia
Email: e.wahyuningtyas@shell.com

Cautionary note

Scenarios don’t describe what will happen, or what should happen, rather they explore what could happen. We base them on plausible assumptions and quantification, and they are designed to stretch management’s thinking and even to consider events that may only be remotely possible. Scenarios, therefore, are not intended to be predictions of likely future events or outcomes or a strategy. Investors should not rely on them when making an investment decision with regard to Shell plc securities.

Shell’s scenarios, including this Indonesia sketch, are not Shell’s strategy or business plan. When developing Shell’s strategy, our scenarios are one of many variables that we consider. Ultimately, whether society meets its goals to decarbonise is not within Shell’s control. While we intend to travel this journey, only governments can create the framework for success. 

This Indonesia Scenarios Sketch contains data and analysis from Shell’s Sky 1.5 scenario. The Sky 1.5 scenario starts with data from Shell's Sky scenario of 2018, but with important updates. First, the outlook uses the most recent modelling for the impact and recovery from COVID-19 consistent with a Sky 1.5 scenario narrative. Second, it blends this projection into existing Sky energy system data by around 2030. Third, the extensive scale-up of nature-based solutions is brought into the core scenario, which benefits from extensive new modelling of that scale-up. (In 2018, nature-based solutions required to achieve 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century were analysed as a sensitivity to Sky. This analysis was also reviewed and included in the IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C (SR15).) Fourth, our new oil and natural gas supply modelling, with an outlook consistent with the Sky 1.5 narrative and demand is presented for the first time. Fifth, the Sky 1.5 scenario draws on the latest historical data and estimates to 2020 from various sources, particularly the extensive International Energy Agency energy statistics. As with Sky, this scenario assumes that society achieves the 1.5 degree Celsius stretch goal of the Paris Agreement. It stretches development dynamics today to explore a goal-oriented way to achieve that ambition. We worked backwards in designing how this could occur, considering the realities of the situation today and taking into account realistic timescales for change. Of course, there is a range of possible pathways that society could take to achieve the Paris goal. Although achieving the goal and the future depicted in Sky 1.5, while maintaining growth in the global economy, will be extremely challenging, it remains a technically possible pathway.

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These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward-looking statements contained in this Indonesia sketch and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this Indonesia sketch, September 29, 2022.